Bart’s Best Bets: The Beginning

This is my first blog post, so be prepared for an absolute nightmare. This wasn’t my idea either, my awesome wife Kaylee basically got tired of hearing me rant about sports to her everyday, so she told me that I should start a blog (Basically her way of telling me she doesn’t care about any of it). So if this thing is a complete dumpster fire, it’s completely on me, but if it succeeds with flying colors, then she gets all the credit (For those of you who aren’t married, that’s how marriage works, so deal with it). I also want to give credit to Barstool Sports for inspiring me (a common man) to write about sports topics that only a select few (other common men) actually care about. If you haven’t read or heard any of their stuff, check them out at barstoolsports.com.

I’m not going to spend much time introducing myself, because if you are reading this first post, it’s probably because you’re my friend and I’m forcing you to read it, and/or bribing you with beer. I’m a high school math teacher during the week (It’s not as bad as it sounds, I actually really enjoy it), and I’m a professional sports fanatic on the weekends.

I like to think I’ve done pretty well with College Football this year, but NFL has been terrible, so I’ll try to just stick with CFB for now, but if there’s an obvious NFL bet out there, I’ll be sure to let you know about it (Those usually don’t exist). My main man Holst (He lives in Vegas, so he’s kind of a big deal) will be taking care of the NFL picks on this blog, because he’s right up there with Larry the Goldfish when it comes to picking NFL games.

I wish I would have been doing this at the start of the season, but for some reason my wife put up with me talking to her about it for a whole 13 weeks. God bless her soul! So here goes nothing; my picks for College Football Week 14. Bet my picks, fade my picks, or completely ignore my picks, doesn’t really matter to me. I’m just some random dude living in SW Nebraska with a blog. Just remember, I don’t actually gamble real money, because gambling is illegal in Nebraska. If I could gamble legally, these would be the picks I would go with. All of the lines and totals are set at time of publishing (odds coming from oddshark), and will not change as the week goes on. So get’em while their hot!

College Football: Week 14

  • Western Michigan vs. Ohio: Western Michigan (-19)

I know 19 is a large number that a lot of people might be afraid of, but don’t let that scare you away. This team is legitimate and have a 9-3 record ATS compared to Ohio’s 6-6 record. I think WMU is a little salty about just being 17th in the CFP Rankings. They also have a New Years Six Bowl appearance at stake. I could go on and on with why Western Michigan will cover, but I’ll stop here. Western Michigan will “Row the Boat” in this one, all the way to the Cotton Bowl!

  • Colorado vs. Washington: Colorado (+7.5)

If there’s one thing I love more than my wife, it’s a nice half point hook. Colorado is the 2nd best team ATS this year at 10-2. I fell in love with them around week 4 and haven’t wavered yet. They are also kind of a fun football team to watch, and that’s saying a lot coming from a loyal Nebraska fan. Colorado hasn’t beat Washington in their last six games, but those teams aren’t this Colorado team. I think this will be a close game that will come down to the last possession. Washington will probably win, but they won’t win by more than 7. Word of advise: When given a good looking hook, take it!

  • Temple vs. Navy: Temple (+3)

Temple is the best kept secret in college football. Why do you ask? BECAUSE THEY’RE 11-1 AGAINST THE SPREAD! That’s why. I didn’t figure this out until last week and I’m so mad about it. Oh yeah, and their getting 3 points against a Navy team I really don’t know much about. All I know about Navy is that they are a public team which means a lot of people are betting Navy because they don’t know any better. I could see Temple winning this thing outright, so give me three points all day long.

  • Troy vs. Georgia Southern: Troy (-7)

I’m going to go ahead and blame this pick on brother Joe. He told me about these guys in like week three and I’ve been riding them ever since. They’re only 6-5 ATS so it’s been a bumpy road, but a fun one nonetheless. Their also playing a Georgia Southern team who is a Sun Belt worst 2-9 ATS. Don’t really know why Troy is only favored by 7 points; Vegas probably knows something I don’t, but I’ve been on this train for too long, and I’m not getting off anytime soon. Go Trojans!

  • Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Wisconsin (-2.5)

Not going to do a whole lot of explaining with this one, because I think Big Cat from Pardon My Take said it well when he predicted that the CFB Playoff Committee will rig this game in favor of Wisconsin because having to make a decision on Penn State is their worst nightmare. I’m not a conspiracy guy, I’m more of a connect the dots guy, and there are a lot of dots out there. Also, that was my plug for Pardon My Take. If you haven’t listened to the PMT podcast, quit depriving yourself of the awesomeness and subscribe to them on iTunes.

  • Alabama vs. Florida: OVER 40.5

I really like the total at 40.5 here. I’ve watched Florida a few too many times this year and I’ve found out one thing: THEY CAN’T SCORE THE BALL! Usually that would scare me away from the over, but their playing Alabama and Nick Saban doesn’t have a heart when it comes to blowing teams out. I wouldn’t be surprised if Bama wins this thing 50-3.

  • Baylor @ West Virginia: West Virginia (-17)

This is probably the game I know least about. What I do know is that Baylor has lost their last five games straight up and ATS. Their starting quarterback is out for the season, and they really don’t have a whole lot to play for. Oh yeah, I think they might be allergic to defense as well. Combine all that with West Virginia playing at home and I think we have ourselves a nice blowout.

  • SDSU @ Wyoming: OVER 62

Here’s a nice little tidbit to put in your pocket: SDSU has gone over in their last five games, and Wyoming has gone over in 7 of their last 8 games. Put that together with two bad defenses and two above average running backs and I think we have ourselves a classic old west shootout (running back style).

  • Clemson vs. Virginia Tech: OVER 58

The ACC is a basketball conference through and through, and their football scores reflect that also (sometimes more than their basketball scores). I haven’t watched a whole lot of either team, but Oddshark has this game ending with a total of 73.4. I’m not a stats guy (more of a sabermetrics guy) but that’s a lot more points than 58. Over seems like the pick here.

  • Wisconsin vs. Penn State UNDER 48

Ahhhhh, last one. You may be a crazy person if you’re still reading this, but I really appreciate it. Fortunately for you, I saved my favorite pick for last. Wisconsin and Penn State both have hit the over the past few weeks, but that’s because they’ve been playing bottom of the barrel Big Ten teams. When these two teams have met up with upper half Big Ten teams, the scores have been relatively low. Both these teams rely on their dynamite defenses and that doesn’t change in this one. I honestly think this game could end up being 14-7 with three defense touchdowns. This is my favorite bet of the week by far, what could go wrong?

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