Sometimes I wonder why I keep doing this to myself. I spend at least 3-4 hours on this blog every week and I am always super confident in every pick I make. Then Saturday comes along and I’m lucky to go 2-3. Last week I went 1-4 and almost went 0-5 but Miami beat Florida State in the last minute to give me a win. I honestly don’t know who even reads this any more. I am literally forcing my wife to click on the link every week just so I know someone has at least viewed the blog. Things have gone down hill fast, and I can’t blame people for not reading, because the product that I am putting out there is terrible. I could probably spend these 3-4 hours a week doing something a lot more productive than this, but I’m not going to. You know why? Because I am extremely passionate about this blog and I am determined to turn this thing around. Do not feel sorry for me, just hang in there with me. You know what PJ Fleck would do in this situation? He’d keep rowing that boat, and that’s exactly what I’m going to do.
Before we get to the picks, just a quick reminder, I don’t actually gamble real money, because gambling is illegal in Nebraska. If I could gamble legally, these would be the picks I would go with. All of the lines and totals are set at time of publishing (odds coming from oddshark), and will not change as the week goes on. So get’em while their hot! Here we go, Bart’s Best Bets Baby!
Saturday, October 7th
TCU @ Kansas State (+7)
Ahhhh yes, a home team getting points. The Big 12 is always crazy and unpredictable, but this year it seems crazier and more unpredictable than normal. Kenny (Trill) Hill is an incredible football player and TCU very well could be the Big 12 only team that has the chance to make the College Football Playoff, and that’s exactly why I like Kansas State in this one. Ever since Big 12 play started this season, there has been a huge upset that nobody really saw coming. TCU was the first team to do it when they beat Oklahoma State, and I think it is finally their turn to get upset. Kansas State is just an average football team this year, but they still have Bill Snyder running things over there, and as long as they have him they have a chance to win any game. I think the Big 12 craziness continues this week. Take K-State +6 and maybe even sprinkle a little on the moneyline as well. Gotta love an underdog, when they howl. (Insert Brent Musburger voice)
Georgia Tech (+6.5) @ Miami
Everyone knows that I love this Miami Hurricane Football team, but let’s be honest here. They got super lucky last week in the win against Florida State, and they lost their stud running back in the process. After going only 19-44 against FSU, I’m not sold on Malik Rosier either. Miami has a GREAT defense, but the triple option is a different animal, and no team has been able to stop it yet this year. Georgia Tech is literally a double overtime loss away from being an undefeated football team and they are coming off a nice bye week. This is bound to be a low scoring game, and I’ll definitely be rooting for Miami, but I just don’t see them winning by more than 3-4 points, if they win at all.
Baylor @ Oklahoma State OVER 68
I haven’t hit an over for like four weeks, but I’m not going to give up on it. Naturally, I’m turning to Oklahoma State to help me out. Baylor is ranked 112th in the nation in total defense and Oklahoma State is not much better on that end. Oklahoma State also has one of the most explosive offenses in the nation and has scored 40 or more points in four out of their five games this year. Oklahoma State should win this game, but I think Baylor will put up more of a fight than people think. Either way, there will be a lot of yards gained and a lot of points scored in this game. Take the over 70 and enjoy the game.
Arkansas @ Alabama (-30)
Alabama is the best team in college football right now (sorry, Clemson). With a record of 2-3, Arkansas is not a good football team this year, and even worse ATS (0-4-1). I think Alabama’s “close” 11 point win at A&M last Saturday was exactly what this team needed to get them fired up again. Nick Saban is pissed and so is his team, and I don’t feel bad for Arkansas one bit. The Razorbacks cannot play defense, and Alabama has one of the best defenses in the nation. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if Alabama won this game 60-0. You can’t set a spread high enough for me to take Arkansas in this game.
Michigan State @ Minnesota (+4.5)
Speaking of Rowing the Boat, let’s talk what about a great opportunity the Gophers have this week. Michigan State is riding high right now after beating Michigan at the Big House and Minnesota is riding the struggle bus after going to West Lafayette and losing to Purdue by two touchdowns. I think this could be a big let down spot for Michigan State. The Spartans officially have a target on their back and I’m not sure if they are good enough to handle it yet. They very well could prove me wrong, but I can’t resist taking PJ and the gang as home dogs in this one. RTB!
Bart’s Best Bets Year to Date: 14-16 (11-10 ATS, 3-6 O/U)
There you have it, folks, Week 7 of Bart’s Best Bets. I am officially have a losing record in picking games, it’s time to turn this around. I hope you enjoyed reading and enjoy my picks this week even more. We had our FOURTH bad round of picks last weekend and I expect to bounce back this week. Have a GREAT weekend of football watching, and don’t forget to check out DaveCh999’s NFL Week 6 picks!
Double COVERage 